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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">IJPDS</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>International Journal of Population Data Science</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title>IJPDS</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2399-4908</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Swansea University</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.23889/ijpds.v11i5.3705</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">11:5:3705</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="pii">S2399490821037058</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Population Data Science</subject>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Commuting on the London Underground and Long-term Health Outcomes: A Cohort Study Using Externally Linked Census Data</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Thies</surname><given-names initials="S">Stephan</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="affil-1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Kennedy</surname><given-names initials="C">Calum</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="affil-2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Dennett</surname><given-names initials="A">Adam</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="affil-2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Stockton</surname><given-names initials="J">Jemima</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="affil-2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Hurst</surname><given-names initials="J">John</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="affil-2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Taylor</surname><given-names initials="J">Jonathon</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="affil-3"><sup>3</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Hardelid</surname><given-names initials="P">Pia</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="affil-2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Shelton</surname><given-names initials="N">Nicola</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="affil-2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Loxham</surname><given-names initials="M">Matthew</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="affil-4"><sup>4</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Horsfall</surname><given-names initials="L">Laura</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="affil-2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib>
<aff id="affil-1"><label>1</label><institution>Columbia University, New York, USA</institution></aff>
<aff id="affil-2"><label>2</label><institution>UCL, London, United Kingdom</institution></aff>
<aff id="affil-3"><label>3</label><institution>Tampere University, Tampere, Finland</institution></aff>
<aff id="affil-4"><label>4</label><institution>Southampton University, Southampton, United Kingdom</institution></aff>
</contrib-group>
<pub-date date-type="pub" publication-format="electronic"><day></day><month></month><year></year></pub-date>
<pub-date date-type="collection" publication-format="electronic"><year></year></pub-date>
<volume>11</volume>
<issue>5</issue>
<elocation-id>3705</elocation-id>
<permissions>
<license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/">
<license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://ijpds.org/article/view/3705">This article is available from the IJPDS website at: https://ijpds.org/article/view/3705</self-uri>
<abstract>
<sec>
<title>Background</title>
<p>Metro systems are essential for urban mobility but often expose commuters to particulate matter (PM) at levels far above roadside air. The London Underground (LU), the world’s oldest metro, supports ∼4 million daily journeys and has elevated PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations dominated by iron-rich particles from mechanical abrasion. These exposures raise concerns about long-term health effects.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Methods</title>
<p>Using the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study (ONS–LS), we analysed two retrospective cohorts of economically active adults (≥16 years) living and working in London and recorded in the 1991, 2001, or 2011 Censuses. Cohort 1 (n = 7,343) compared LU commuters with above-ground rail users. Cohort 2 (n = 4,094) examined dose—response patterns between externally linked cumulative LU PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure and health outcomes. Exposure estimates combined Transport for London data, PM<sub>2.5</sub> measurements, and geospatial modelling. Outcomes were all-cause mortality (1991 to 2017) and cancer incidence (1991 to 2015). Analyses used inverse probability weighting and the parametric g-formula.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Results</title>
<p>Most LU commuters were estimated to encounter hourly PM<sub>2.5</sub> levels &gt;100 <italic>μ</italic>g/m<sup>3</sup>. LU users were 1.93% (95% CI: 0.58–3.66) less likely to survive the follow-up period than above-ground rail users, while cancer risk differences were negligible. No dose—response pattern emerged, and a hypothetical 50% PM<sub>2.5</sub> reduction produced minimal survival change.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Conclusions</title>
<p>LU commuters experience PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations roughly 8–10 times higher than above-ground levels. Mortality risk appeared slightly elevated, though uncertainty remains. Findings highlight the need for better exposure assessment and further research on metro-related PM.</p>
</sec>
</abstract>
</article-meta>
</front>
</article>